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My latest crack at a "Retirement Portfolio"

Tuesday, November 5, 2024

Cash: good stuff to have around

The market is up, way up. For me that is a sign to take a little off the table. This feels good, having cash is always reassuring but take care not to cash out too much. Diversification is as important here as elsewhere. Cash is but one investment in a well diversified portfolio.

Today, my money market fund (TDB8150) is paying 3.3%. Sounds good but keep in mind that inflation is running at 1.6%. This is good, really good, but it still affects buying power. The return on your money market funds will feel more like 1.7% when it comes time to spend it. Ouch.

Let's compare cash to the TSX. The last decade has been a bit of a dog. The Canadian market has not performed nearly was well as the U.S. one. Still, it managed to return approximately 3.0% annually for the ten years in question.

This 3% annual growth in the index value does not include dividends. Include dividends and the total return—which combines both price appreciation and dividend income—brings the total return closer to 6.0% or a little more.

Converting some of your equity winnings into cash has the following rewards:

  • A major expense such as a roof does not pose a threat to your financial well-being. You have the cash to cover it. You will not be forced to sell equities in a falling market.
  • Drawing from your cash reserves rather than relying on dividends, means you spend the interest paid on your cash as it accumulates rather than allowing it to lose value with the passing of time.
  • Having a nice cash cushion enables you to pick up the stock market bargains appearing during a bear market. Buy low is only six letter until you have the cash to fulfill  your "buy low" goal. Warren Buffet likes to hold a fair amount of cash for just this reason: to be able to buy low when the opportunity arises.
  • A portfolio is more diversified when a meaningful amount is kept in cash.

Sunday, November 3, 2024

What kind of investor are you?

What kind of investor are you? This is a very important question and it important for you to have an answer. Generally, investors fall into two main categories: buy-and-hold or short-term trader. Each category has its own characteristics.

What am I? I'm in a sub-category of the buy-and-hold group. I buy-and-hold but, for the most part, only dividend paying stocks. I firmly believe the value of my investments will appreciate with time but it is the dividend that I need in retirement. A rule of thumb says stocks will appreciate two thirds of the times and loose value one third of the time. I ride out market corrections and even bear markets confident that the rule of thumb will hold. Buying on the dips is nice but I don't worry about hitting the ultimate low. Market timing is out.

Short-term traders are different. They buy and immediately begin thinking of selling. They want capital gains. Dividend paying stocks and non-dividend paying stock are treated almost identically. Market timing may play a big role with short-term traders who try to predict the best time to enter or exit stock positions.

Short-term traders are far more likely to use technical analysis with its emphasis on short-term price movements. A belief that historical price movements give an investor a window into today's action is essential. Stuff like Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is used to identify trends and reveal upcoming reversals.

As a buy-and-hold investor with a focus on dividends, I enjoy the following benefits:

  • Dividends: Dividend-paying stocks like Enbridge (ENB) or CIBC deliver a solid income stream which, in my case, can be drawn upon in retirement. How solid is the ENB dividend? ENB has paid dividends for over 69 years without missing a payment. Over the past 29 years, the ENB dividend has grown at an average compound annual growth rate of 10%. As a retiree, this growth is greatly appreciated.


  • Simplicity: The buy-and-hold strategy minimizes the need for constant monitoring of market fluctuations and eliminates the stress of being forced to make frequent trading decisions. Short-term volatility is not a concern.
  • Lower Trading Fees: Buy-and-hold investors trade less frequently. Far fewer trades means smaller trading fees.
  • Tax Efficiency: Buy-and-hold investors face capital gains tax only when they sell. Holding stocks for the long term amounts to a tax deferral until the sale. Although the tax on dividends must be paid annually, dividends are often taxed at favourable rate compared to regular income.
A long term investor is drawn to companies with strong fundamentals and a long history of profitability. When the market dives, a portfolio packed with quality stocks continues pumping out the dividends. A retiree can continue to pay the bills despite the reduced  portfolio value.